The government. This is precisely what is Last Database observed when viewing public opinion data in Ecuador between 2008-2019, using the Americas Barometer as an instrument. two. Throughout this entire period, as expected, the Correistas had always held more favorable views of the economy than the anti-Correistas. But the direction of the trend changed Last Database around 2014-2016. From that moment on, when the respondents responded retrospectively about their perceptions of the previous year, the Correistas also began to state that the Last Database situation was worse than before, and their assessment began to coincide with that of their opponents.
The same change of direction is observed in the tendency Last Database of the perception of correístas and anticorre ístas about the personal economy and about the economic situation of their family. In other words, despite the real improvement in several Last Database social indicators (compared to those of the pre-Correa period, as far as official indicators allow us to see), in the final years of the Correa government – when the price of oil was comparatively lower, there were reductions in Last Database employment in the public sector and some cuts in some areas of the budget–, the citizen perception was that things were worse than before.
Therefore, Arauz was in the dilemma of Last Database championing the promise of going back to the past when part of his potential electorate was dissatisfied with his material situation in that recent past. On the other hand, several of the potential Correísta voters were also willing to Last Database cast their vote for an alternative that would represent a change in the confrontational rhetoric against social leaders and leftist forces critical of the Correa government. The outbreak of Last Database social protest in October 2019 was led by the Ecuadorian indigenous movement and was produced in rejection of the elimination of the fuel subsidy as an immediate cause, but it included.